Lest we forget, waiting for such list is not normal. In normal
democratic systems and countries, politicians and indeed their
supporters do not need to wait for days to see a final list from
their electoral regulators to know who has won or lost primary
elections. They know who their candidate is going to be just a few
hours after the primary elections and those who care to wait
around get to know the results right where they voted. The results
they get are also the final ones and in most cases, these results
tend to match expectations that emerge from polls and popular
views.
The accepted idea that unpopular politicians can and readily elbow out
popular aspirants or that even after primary elections, some
politicians can still hope and scheme to get their names on their
party list is a clear indication that intrigues, violence and
manipulations carry far too much weight in than votes our systems.
Such democratic imbalance is dangerously to the detriment of a
qualitative selection of those that will eventually rule and it works
against the good governance the country desperately needs. The mere
fact that politicians and their followers have to wait for a final
list from INEC’s headquarters to know their fate and decide their next
moves is another clear indication that a lot is not well with the
Nigerian political system.
To understand their next moves, given that no mainstream political
party can honestly boast of a complete and sound internal democracy, I
got in touch with those who had access to and practical understanding
of our political system. My most articulate contact was a Lagos born
Prince who is also a Security and Development expert. Conversations
with him led me to conclude that Nigerians politicians, after the
primaries, are faced with three options: Exit, Voice and Loyalty.
Many of those who feel betrayed, cheated or muscled out of their
tickets are very likely to leave their party i.e take the exit option.
Elsewhere, it is difficult to see politicians easily change parties
not because the law prohibits it but because those politicians are
normally bounded to their parties by values and ideologies. In a
system where the unifying element is all but ideological and the bond
is equivalent rather than covalent politicians are more likely to
easily migrate from one party to the other. The parties that receive
them should not be blamed for doing so but leaders of their former
parties should be evaluated also in terms of what damage decampees can
do with their departure, just like a coach that allows a player to go
only for that player to make his new team win the league.
The second possible option is to stay in the party and voice your
concern. This tends to be the attitude of big players who will
eventually make history as reformers. They stay in the party because
they see themselves as stakeholders not just fans, followers or boys
of the leader rather they think with the right strategy they can
correct the leaders or one day challenge and vote him out. They are
motivated by ideas and principles and they tend to be self reliant or
at least not dependent on just the leader for resources.
The loyalty option tend to be for those politicians who don’t complain
and just suffer in silence because they don’t believe they can do
anything about what is wrong, they wait for someone else to do
something about the mess on ground. Others take the loyalty option
because they genuinely believe the leader is right, pragmatic or
because they are so dependent on the leader that they cannot foresee a
future without or against the leader.
Save for some exceptions here and there, the recently concluded
primaries have been far from transparent and democratic, to get the
much needed good governance, Nigerians need to pay more attention into
internal democracy, till we get that right, our politicians have to
exit, voice or remain loyal. We the voters too have our choices to
make.